When I said I was going to write several blogs about the “Not so big
name free agents” I figured I would have to write two or three a week
to keep up with the Hot Stove, but an unpredictably slow off season has
allowed me to take my time with these blogs. Considering I suffer from
chronic procrastination, works out great for me.
So without further ado, lets get the blogging underway.
Casey has to be one of the most underrated players in Major League
Baseball. Yes, I am full aware that he has had a slight injury history,
but if you take a good look at his list of injuries you would be hard
pressed to find anything that screams he has a serious chronic issue.
His list of injuries is quite an extensive list but nothing that would
normally scare off potential teams looking to fill a void at first
base. But I guess when you add neck stiffness, thumb injury and
strained hip flexor just to name a few. Could he just be made of glass
or has he suffered from dumb luck?
Any way you look at it, there
are a lot less talented players out there that still get multi year
deals every season. Why not take a chance on a player with a career
.302 BA and a career .367 OBP? Not to mention the fact that he plays a
pretty solid first base. He has never committed more than 8 errors in a
season and he only reached that number once in his career.
essentially we are talking about a .300 hitter that gets on base almost
40% of the time and possess a career .995 FPCT with a zone rating of
.875. Now grant it an .875 zone rating is not an astonishing number but
when you take into consideration that Albert Pujols has a zone rating
of .893, you will see he is not far off the mark of a Gold Glove winner.
often as teams take ill conceived risk by signing questionably healthy
free agents with less talent, it really just makes zero sense that no
one has taken a risk and signed Sean Casey to at least a three year
deal. Maybe the slow moving, light burning Hot Stove will play into
Casey’s hands and he will finally get his multi year deal that he
Possible teams that may be interested in Sean Casey: Angels, Athletics, Rangers, Mariners, Nationals
There are a ton of big name free agents out there this year.
Manny, Mark, CC, Sheets, AJ and Lowe just to name a few. But what are some of
the smaller names out there that may provide a big boost to some teams?
I am going to do a series on these players one at a time.
batting average has nosed dived the past 3 years, but he proved last year he
can still hit homeruns. Edmonds
belted 20 dingers for the season in 2008 which was up from the 12 he hit in
2007. If you are looking for the 20 to be the anomaly you would be wrong. 12
homers is the lowest homerun count in almost a decade for Edmonds. Every other year he has had 20 or
more homeruns. So the anomaly would be the 12 mark.
is not the fielder that he once was but considering the reckless abandon that
he played game with for so many years and the fact that he will turn 39 during
the 09 season, you have to expect him to have lost a step or two in his game.
Even an Edmonds
with a lost step he is still and above average fielder and would man any
centerfield in the majors just fine.
Now do not expect to see the Jim Edmonds of old by any stretch
of the imagination, but a formidable one could and should be expected. He is
still capable of posting a .260 BA and hitting 20 dingers which would be a good
upgrade in centerfield for MOST teams.
Teams that Jim Edmonds would be a good fit for: Houston
Astros, Chicago Cubs, Oakland Athletics, Cincinnati Reds and Kansas City Royals
I can no decide which is harder to wait for. Is it the start of the
regular season where every team still has a fighting chance? Or is it
the start of the off season free agent hot stove? On one hand you have
the actual start of play and something exciting to come home and watch
every day almost. Then on the other hand the excitement of “will my
team sign a big name free agent” is always exciting. It is just hard to
tell, but one thing is for sure. I can not wait until November 14th
gets here so the fun can really begin.
So for now I figured I
would type up an article on the trades and signings that have already
gone down. Some of these are rather boring, but some could have a real
impact on the 2009 season.
MLB Transactions: (or at least the “Best Of” anyways)
1. In a some what surprising move, the Washington Nationals sent Dmitri Young outright to Triple-A Syracuse.
After the 2007 season Young was named the National League Comeback
Player of the Year after only playing in 48 games in 2006. In 2008
injuries and difficulties in his battle with Diabetes limited Young to
only 30 games. Even so, Young be sent outright to Triple-A is a bit
puzzling to me.
2. The St. Louis Cardinals signed back up catcher Jason LaRue to a one year deal. LaRue played in 61 games for the Cardinals last year backing up Gold Glove winner Yadier Molina.
3. On November 6th the New York Yankees declined the option of Damaso Marte only to resign him six days later to a 3 year $12 million contract.
4. In an expected move the Texas Rangers exercised Hank Blalock’s $6.2 million option.
5. San Diego Padres exercised the $9 million option of Brian Giles.
With the state of the Padres right now no one was for sure if they
would pick up Giles’ option. On any normal circumstance it would have
seemed like a no brainer for the Padres to pick up his option.
6. Right handed Taiwanese pitcher Chia-Jen Lo’s dreams became a reality when he was signed to a minor league contract by the Houston Astros.
Chia-Jen Lo has always been a closer and the Astros seem inclined to
leave him in the role he feels comfortable. But do not worry Astros
fans, Chia-Jen Lo is not about to replace Jose Valverde anytime soon. The Astros believe the young Taiwanese pitcher is still a few years from the major league level.
7. LaTroy Hawkins
was rewarded for his stellar work out of the Astros bullpen. The Astros
signed the veteran pitcher to a one year $3.25 million contract. This
could mean the Astros are not as pressed in signing Doug Brocail even though they would also like to bring him back aswell.
8. The Washington Nationals acquired LHP Scott Olsen and OF Josh Willingham from the Marlins. To complete the deal the Marlins received for INF Emilio Bonifacio, RHP P.J. Dean and INF Jake Smolinski.
9. In the biggest offseason move so far, the Oakland Athletics acquired OF Matt Holliday in exchange for closer Huston Street.
Colorado also received LHP Greg Smith and OF Carlos Gonzalez. This puts
the Athletics in a position to contend in 2009. If they are able to
sign Jason Giambi to be their DH then the A’s may have a fighting chance.
10. The Kansas City Royals made a trade for power hitting first baseman Mike Jacobs Sending RHP Leo Nunez to the Marlins to complete the deal.
11. Shortstop Edgar Renteria will be a free agent now that the Detroit Tigers
declined his option. Edgar is classified as a Type A free agent and a
lot of teams may be unwilling to give up their first round pick for
him. There is an outside chance the Detroit Tigers can resign him to a
12. For the first time in a decade the purest swing in the game will be on the free agent market. The Chicago White Sox declined the option on veteran power hitting Ken Griffey Jr.
Even though Junior’s numbers have fallen off a bit do not look for him
to sign cheap. I would guess he would sign with a team he feels will
compete in 2009 so do not look for a Seattle reunion. (Even though he
said he is open to the idea)
13. Catcher Rod Barajas will be in Toronto in 2009. The Blue Jays have picked up the option on his contract.
14. Carlos Delgado had his $12 million option picked up for 2009.
15. The Boston Red Sox picked up Tim Wakefield’s
option for next season. In case you are unaware of how many option
years Wakefield has left on his contract I will let you know. The
number is indefinite. As long as Boston wants the knuckleballer then he
his theirs for $4 million a season.
Now, these are just the
transactions that have already gone down. These do not count the
endless Jake Peavy rumors that are swirling around. Or the Manny or CC
contract offers that have already been made.
I was kind of
hoping this blog would carry me into the beginning of the opening of
the free agent season, but sadly it has only brought me a couple of
Well, the General Managers meetings have come
and gone once again. Unlike last year when the Astros traded Brad Lidge and
Eric Bruntlett to the Phillies for Michael Bourn and Geoff Geary, there were no
major trades. (Although Lidge, Bruntlett, Bourn and Geary trade were not
considered a major trade when it happened) But we did get a lot of swirling
rumors to come out of the General Managers meetings.
The Jake Peavy Train
One of the biggest rumors heading into the meetings was of
course where the “Jake Peavy Train” will stop now that it has “left” San Diego. The Atlanta
Braves and the Chicago Cubs are two teams that seem to be leading the race to “arms”
so to speak. But like any race there is a dark horse in the mix and that would
be the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Braves seem to have the slight lead in the Peavy Derby because
they can not only match the Padres demand with talented young pitching, but
they could also throw Yunel Escobar to fill the hole at shortstop the Padres
will have when they trade off (probably in the same deal with Peavy) Kahlil
Do not think for a second that the Cubs are out of the race,
because they are not. Do not expect Jeff Samardzija to be involved in any trade
for Peavy or other trade for that matter. Contrary to some postings and
articles, Samardzija has a full no trade clause and not a partial no trade
Samardzija’s no trade clause does not mean the Cubs are out
of the race for Peavy, they still have Rich Harden that can be part of any trade
to land Jake Peavy. If the Cubs are willing to put Harden in the deal with a
young pitcher and Felix Pie or Ronny Cedeno I would be very surprised if the
Padres turn down a deal like that.
For the Dodgers to land Peavy would probably mean they
would have to give up a lot more talent considering they are in the National League
West with the Padres.
Matt Holiday’s surprise appearance at the General Managers
Meetings started the wheels of the Rumor Mill turning. Are the Rockies making the power hitting outfielder available for
trade? Does Holiday’s appearance mean the Rockies
have given up hope of signing him to long term contract?
New York Mets
Omar Minaya stated that the Mets would be more
active in the free agent market than the trade market. Signing a free agent
will not cost a team a current prospect already in the team’s organization. The
only thing a team will lose is a draft pick in next years draft.
The Houston Astros signed LaTroy Hawkins to a
one year deal for $3.5 million plus bonuses. Hawkins was rewarded for is work
for the Astros have they acquired him in a trade from the Yankees. Hawkins
posted a 0.43 ERA in 24 games.
Andy Pettite informed the New York Yankees that
he would like to pitch again next season. The Yankees have stated that they
want Pettite back, but it is widely believed he would have to take a
significant pay cut from the $16 million he made last season. A two year deal
should be a long shot for Pettite. Brian Cashman does not seem to be in too big
of a hurry to ink Pettite to a contract. The signing or retirement of Mike
Mussina will play a big role in Pettites return. There is a chance that Andy
could end up back in Houston
or with the Texas Rangers.
The Milwaukee Brewers have formally made an
offer to CC Sabathia. Right now they are sitting and waiting for a counter
offer from CC’s agent. The offer is believed to be a 5 year 1$100 million
Manny and the Dodgers “Window Dressing”
Manny has received is first official offer from
the Dodgers. Some call the offer a “Window Dressing”. It is believed to be a 2
year deal for $45 million and a third option year. I doubt that Manny and Scott
Boras have given this offer more than a seconds thought.
Does everyone understand the importance of Type A and B free agents?
Here is how that works according to www.mlbtraderumors.com
“If the Diamondbacks offer Dunn arbitration, he may decline because he prefers to play elsewhere or prefers to seek a multiyear free agent contract. If he declines the Reds’ offer and signs elsewhere, the Diamondbacks will receive two draft picks.
Let’s say the Yankees sign Dunn. The Diamondbacks will then receive one ’09 draft pick from the Yankees. If the Yankees have, say, the 22nd overall pick next June, the Reds get that in addition to their own normal first round pick. The Diamondbacks also get a supplemental draft pick squeezed in between the first and second round of the draft.
The Diamondbacks only get the Yankees’ first-round pick if it falls between #16-30. The first 15 picks are protected. So if the Nationals sign Dunn, the Diamondbacks are kind of screwed because they do not get the Nats’ #2 overall pick. Instead, they get the Nats’ second round pick and the supplemental pick.
A free agent can also be classified as a Type B based on his stats from 2007-08. This might happen with Jon Garland. Say the Angels offer him arbitration and he declines and then signs with the Dodgers. The Dodgers would not give up any draft picks, but the Angels would get an extra pick between the first and second round. Another rule to consider: the “losing” team can receive draft pick compensation without offering arbitration if their free agent is signed before December 1st.”
Here is an interesting note too. If your team only loses one Type A player via a free agent signing then that team is only allowed to sign one Type A free agent.
Lets take the Yankees for example. They have four type A pending free agents. Andy Pettite, Mike Mussina, Ivan Rodriguez and Damaso Marte. Now if they resign both Pettite, Mussina and Marte they would only be allowed to sign one major free agent. So they would not be able to chase after CC, Teixaria, AJ Burnett and Derek Lowe even though every Yankees fan with a blog would have you believe. It is just simply not possible.
Dumb 2008 NL MVP Picks Pt. Deux
I think that everyone should
realize that Manny Ramirez is not a viable MVP candidate in the NL, and
surprisingly, there are people out there who know this and are not
going to waste their MVP pick on a guy who played only fitty games in
the NL. He’s wrong, horribly, horribly wrong, but hey, he’s trying
Phillies’ Howard deserves NL MVP over Cardinals’ Pujols
the idiocy begin. To borrow a phrase from one of the worst Homer
broadcasters ever: it’s time to sinch’er up and hunker down here,
folks. Cause when Bob Matthews is writing, you best believe the crap is
gonna start flying.
Ryan Howard is my pick for National League Most Valuable Player,
you are a dumb-butt. Here is Howard’s stat line for the year:
.251/.339/.543. Those first two numbers are quite pedestrian, yet you
make him your MVP choice? Sure, he hit 48 HR’s, which definitely helped
his team, but the dude struck out 199 times! That’s one less than 200!
Even Adam Dunn would say, “Jesus, Ryan take some pitches!”
but Albert Pujols is my choice for first baseman on the 2008 Major League Baseball All-Star Team.
Ok? Did you say that just to make up for your crazy MVP pick? You ain’t foolin’ me, Bob Matthews.
Well, Albert, I didn’t pick you for the MVP this year because I put too
much emphasis on RBI’s and and didn’t even look at Ryan’s strikeout
numbers, but hey, you are on the depth chart for the MLB All-Star Team!
How’s that for accomplishments?
Albert Pujols: Who the heck are you, fat man? What are you doing in my bedroom?! Get theheck
out of my house you bafoon! Don’t you know that RBI’s are a suspect
statistic, anyways? Jeez!
for Bob Matthews): “Because I’m a traditional baseball nut-job that way
overvalues RBI’s and Home Runs and have no clue what OBP is. I like MVP
voting because I can dick-around for the first 5 months of the season
and then really only vaguely watch August and September to get my MVP
For your reference, here is a list of NL players
that have better VORP numbers than Howard’s (good, but not MVP-quality)
35.3 and below Pujols’ leading 96.8.
that list is too long. Ryan Howard is 30th in the NL in VORP. He’s not
even leading his own team in VORP! I’m sorry, back to the RBI’s we go…
My All-Star Team is based on season-long performance, and Pujols had a better overall offensive season than Howard.
Just better? That one sentence cannot possibly begin to describe how
much better Pujols’ .357/.462/.653 season was than Howard’s abismal
.251/.339/.543. Pat Burrel (123) and Chase Utley (133) both OPS+ed
either the same or more than Howard’s 123, while Pujols was busy
putting up an OPS+ of 190. 190!
But Howard was red hot in September (.352, 11 HRs, 32 RBI) and carried Philadelphia to the NL East pennant.
it was all Howard. Chase Utley, Jimmy Rollins, Cole Hamels and Brad
Lidge? They all phoned it in in September, leaving Howard to pick up
the slack. Give me a freaking break with this “hot in September” crap,
it really proves my sarcastic point that you only watch the last two
months of the season.
St. Louis faded in early September when Pujols cooled off
you serious? “Cooled off”? He went .321/.427/.702 in September, which
admittedly is down from his August line of .398/.491/.745, but cooled
off? He was still OPSing over 1.000! The 2008 NL MVP Candidacy: .400 in
September or Bust.
But what about your savior of the NL, Ryan
Howard? Did you happen to look at his monthly splits? Or, again, is
September the only month in which you allow yourself to watch baseball?
had an AVG of .300+ only twice this season, and those two times were
the only times he even sniffed .250+. He went .213/.328/.463 in August
with 36 K’s and only 7 Home Runs. I don’t know if you, like, know
anything about baseball but, that sucks. Kind of like this article.
In fairness, he was due for a mini-slump after carrying the Cardinals for several months.
I refer you to the rant in the above paragraphs about the “mini-slump”.
just several months? How about the entire freaking season? How about
putting up an MLB-leading VORP of 96.8! And “carrying the
Cardinals”…isn’t that within your definition of “Valuable” in the
MVP? Just a thought.
If Pujols finishes on top in the official NL MVP balloting, it would be fine with me.
Then just freaking pick him! He is the most viable candidate out there!
I figure he got robbed of two NL MVP awards when Barry Bonds beat him out with bloated muscles and numbers.
Pujols deserves the 2008 NL MVP because he got screwed by Barroid, and
not because he is far superior to any player in the NL this year? Wow.
Here are my picks for the major individual awards:
screw you. I’m done reading your baseball-ignorant crap. You and Bill
Plaschke should get together and whack it to the thoughts of old scouts
and how the statheads are ruining the game of baseball. Get bent you
Article by 643 Sports Jon
I know that every write has his, or her, own opinion about
different subjects. For example, I am of the high belief that Lance Berkman is
one of the most underrated players in the game.But yet there are many that
disagree with me, and that is fine. Each person is entitled to have a separate and
different opinion. Which is why I usually overlook articles that I disagree with,
but today when I was reading the Astros addition of “mailbag” I became
completely stunned. Not by the question that was asked, but by the answer which
Now before I give everyone the question and answer let me
state for the record that I highly respect the writings of Alyson Footer. 99%
of the time I at least partially agree with her. This, I guess, just happens to
be the 1% that I am in total disagreeance with her.
I am about to give you the question posed by what I am
to assume is an Astros fan, and then I will give you the answer Alyson Footer
gave. And then I will attempt to break down in detail why I believe she is so
way off base.
I totally agree with you on Jake Peavy being an
unrealistic trade. The few prospects we have, we need to hold onto to help the
Astros. The trade I’d love to see (if anyone would take him) is Miguel Tejada
for anything. He has the tendency to ground into double plays, and has
potential legal issues ahead. What are the Astros’ plans for him?
— Doug P., Athens, Ala.
You answered your own question, you
don’t need my help. Tejada’s power numbers decreased at an alarming pace as the
season progressed, as evidenced by the three home runs he hit in the second
half. His average was decent (.283) and he had a good September, hitting .295
with seven doubles and 11 RBIs, but he’s nowhere close to where he was a few
years ago, when he was a perennial MVP candidate. He has $13 million coming to
him in ’09, and he’ll be 35 in May. No one knows where he could be with his
legal issues next year. So, what are the Astros’ plans for him? What are their
He’ll be in a Houston uniform in ’09, he’ll play out his
contract, and he’ll probably move on after that. We’ll see. But dealing him is
not happening. Who would take him?
Now, I have to know what in the world both Doug P. and Alyson Footer are
thinking here. Miguel was a major improvement at shortstop over Adam Everette.
No, I am not in any stretch of the imagination saying that Miggy is a better
defensive shortstop than Adam. That is just simply not the case. Adam is hands
down the best defensive short stop in the game. There is not a better glove man
to be found. And before you email me and say that Derek Jeter let me just tell
you now. Get real.
Let me explain why Miggy is a huge upgrade over Adam. In 2007 the Astros
shortstop put up these monster numbers. A .232 BA 2 Homeruns 15 RBI 1 Triple 11
Doubles. In 2008 the Astros shortstop put up these so called dismal numbers. A
.283 BA 13 Homeruns 66 RBI 3 Triples 38 Doubles. In 2007 Adam was the
shortstop. Now before everyone runs to checkout how accurate my stats are take
note that Adam only played 66 games in 2007, but is 2006 stats mirror the stats
I just gave you. Plus Adam only played in 48 games this season.
Now let us take and put the stats aside. Let us see what other value Mr.
Tejada has for the Astros.
First no one can deny that the man is electrifying on the field. Just take a
look at how youthful the team looks. Jumping and giving high fives. Throwing “the
spotlight” at each other. It is a far cry from the casual forearm bump that
became standard operating procedure during the “Killer B” era.
How many times did you see Miguel go to the mound to talk with which ever
struggling pitcher was run out that night? You can not add that kind of
leadership into a contract. That has to be the player. The man on the field.
How in the world can anyone make a claim that Miggy is not that great of a
shortstop or have any value to this or any team? Is it because he is not
putting up the MVP type number anymore? Or is it because people are resentful
of the fact Miggy is caught in the steroid scandal? Or is it because Miggy
magically aged two years in one day? Whatever the reason may be, people really
should get over it.
Alyson Footer answer broken down:
You answered your own question, you
don’t need my help.
I am assuming this is in response to the
part of the question that asked who would want Tejada. Easy. Anyone that wants
to win and have a leader and great shortstop.
Tejada’s power numbers decreased at an alarming pace as the season
progressed, as evidenced by the three home runs he hit in the second half.
Yeah, I will give his power numbers dropped WAY off after
the All-Star break, but most of his offensive numbers were better than even
Berkman’s after the All-Star break. Maybe more of the problem is with the
hitting coach rather than the players.
His average was decent (.283) and he had a good September, hitting .295
with seven doubles and 11 RBIs, but he’s nowhere close to where he was a few
years ago, when he was a perennial MVP candidate
I will gladly take a .283 hitter in a position that has had
a BA of .249 in the previous 5 years.
He has $13 million
coming to him in ’09, and he’ll be 35 in May.
Am I the only one that has noticed how astronomical
contracts have gotten the past few years? If pitchers are starting to get $17
to $20 million a season to pitch every 5th day, then Miggy is well
worth the $13 million to play everyday.
No one knows where he
could be with his legal issues next year.
There seems to be no hurry to prosecute anyone for perjury.
Barry Bonds has been “under investigation” for several years before Miguel’s
testimony had been brought into question. The Astros could resign him for three
of four more years without worry.
So, what are the
Astros’ plans for him?
Hopefully to let him continue to be the team leader he